paul.stainier@sp2.upenn.edu

I am an environmental economist and Postdoctoral Fellow at the School of Social Policy & Practice at the University of Pennsylvania. I use applied microeconomics methods to study the benefits, costs, and determinants of adaptation to climate change, with a focus on labor market outcomes. I hold a PhD in Environment and Sustainability from the University of California, Los Angeles.

I am on the 2026-2027 job market.

Job Market Paper

Abstract

In the presence of labor market failures, workers may have financial incentives that penalize safety. We study this question in the context of trucking, an industry that ships over two thirds of all freight in the United States, and a setting in which workplace accidents often generate a public safety externality. Using data on 1.4 million truck crashes across the continental United States, we first show that icy weather poses a uniquely strong occupational hazard to truckers: a wet day between -5°C and 0°C increases crashes by 153 percent, an effect that is over twice as large as that for all-vehicle accidents. We then evaluate a policy introduced to curb excessive driving, but one that inadvertently heightened truckers’ incentives to engage in other unsafe driving practices, such as speeding. The policy increased the ice-crash relationship by 28 percentage points, highlighting the importance of considering workers’ incentives when designing labor market interventions that aim to promote safety.